Copenhagen
climate change conference: 'Fourteen days to seal history's judgment
on this generation'
This editorial calling for
action from world leaders on climate change is published today by 56
newspapers around the world in 20 languages
Today 56 newspapers in 45 countries take the unprecedented step
of speaking with one voice through a common editorial. We do so because humanity faces a
profound emergency.
Unless we combine to take decisive
action, climate
change will ravage
our planet, and with it our prosperity and security. The dangers have
been becoming apparent for a generation. Now the facts have started
to speak: 11 of the past 14 years have been the warmest on record, the
Arctic ice-cap is melting and last year's inflamed oil and food prices
provide a foretaste of future havoc. In scientific journals the question
is no longer whether humans are to blame, but how little time we have
got left to limit the damage. Yet so far the world's response has been
feeble and half-hearted.
Climate change has been caused
over centuries, has consequences that will endure for all time and our
prospects of taming it will be determined in the next 14 days. We call
on the representatives of the 192
countries gathered in Copenhagen
not to hesitate, not to fall into dispute, not to blame each other but
to seize opportunity from the greatest modern failure of politics. This
should not be a fight between the rich world and the poor world, or
between east and west. Climate change affects everyone, and must be
solved by everyone.
The science is complex but
the facts are clear. The world needs to take steps to limit temperature
rises to 2C, an aim that will require global emissions to peak and begin
falling within the next 5-10 years. A bigger rise of 3-4C — the smallest
increase we can prudently expect to follow inaction — would parch
continents, turning farmland into desert. Half of all species could
become extinct, untold millions of people would be displaced, whole
nations drowned by the sea. The controversy over emails by British researchers
that suggest they tried to suppress inconvenient data has muddied the
waters but failed to dent the mass of evidence on which these predictions
are based.
Few believe that Copenhagen
can any longer produce a fully polished treaty; real progress towards
one could only begin with the arrival of President Obama in the White
House and the reversal of years of US obstructionism. Even now the world
finds itself at the mercy of American domestic politics, for the president
cannot fully commit to the action required until the US Congress has
done so.
But the politicians in Copenhagen
can and must agree the essential elements of a fair and effective deal
and, crucially, a firm timetable for turning it into a treaty. Next
June's UN climate meeting in Bonn should be their deadline. As one negotiator
put it: "We can go into extra time but we can't afford a replay."
At the deal's heart must be
a settlement between the rich world and the developing world covering
how the burden of fighting climate change will be divided — and how
we will share a newly precious resource: the trillion or so tonnes of
carbon that we can emit before the mercury rises to dangerous levels.
Rich nations like to point
to the arithmetic truth that there can be no solution until developing
giants such as China take more radical steps than they have so far.
But the rich world is responsible for most of the accumulated carbon
in the atmosphere – three-quarters of all carbon dioxide emitted since
1850. It must now take a lead, and every developed country must commit
to deep cuts which will reduce their emissions within a decade to very
substantially less than their 1990 level.
Developing countries can point
out they did not cause the bulk of the problem, and also that the poorest
regions of the world will be hardest hit. But they will increasingly
contribute to warming, and must thus pledge meaningful and quantifiable
action of their own. Though both fell short of what some had hoped for,
the recent
commitments to emissions targets
by the world's biggest polluters, the United
States and China, were important steps in the right
direction.
Social justice demands that
the industrialised world digs deep into its pockets and pledges cash
to help poorer countries adapt to climate change, and clean technologies
to enable them to grow economically without growing their emissions.
The architecture of a future treaty must also be pinned down – with
rigorous multilateral monitoring, fair rewards for protecting forests,
and the credible assessment of "exported emissions" so that
the burden can eventually be more equitably shared between those who
produce polluting products and those who consume them. And fairness
requires that the burden placed on individual developed countries should
take into account their ability to bear it; for instance newer EU members,
often much poorer than "old Europe", must not suffer more
than their richer partners.
The transformation will be
costly, but many times less than the bill for bailing out global finance
— and far less costly than the consequences of doing nothing.
Many of us, particularly in
the developed world, will have to change our lifestyles. The era of
flights that cost less than the taxi ride to the airport is drawing
to a close. We will have to shop, eat and travel more intelligently.
We will have to pay more for our energy, and use less of it.
But the shift to a low-carbon
society holds out the prospect of more opportunity than sacrifice. Already
some countries have recognized that embracing the transformation can
bring growth, jobs and better quality lives. The flow of capital tells
its own story: last year for the first time more was invested in renewable
forms of energy than producing electricity from fossil fuels.
Kicking our carbon habit within
a few short decades will require a feat of engineering and innovation
to match anything in our history. But whereas putting a man on the moon
or splitting the atom were born of conflict and competition, the coming
carbon race must be driven by a collaborative effort to achieve collective
salvation.
Overcoming climate change will
take a triumph of optimism over pessimism, of vision over short-sightedness,
of what Abraham Lincoln called "the better angels of our nature".
It is in that spirit that 56
newspapers from around the world have united behind this editorial.
If we, with such different national and political perspectives, can
agree on what must be done then surely our leaders can too.
The politicians in Copenhagen
have the power to shape history's judgment on this generation: one that
saw a challenge and rose to it, or one so stupid that we saw calamity
coming but did nothing to avert it. We implore them to make the right
choice.
This editorial will be published
tomorrow by 56 newspapers around the world in 20 languages including
Chinese, Arabic and Russian. The text was drafted by a Guardian team
during more than a month of consultations with editors from more than
20 of the papers involved.